NTPC Ltd NSE  /  BSE

Power Generation & Distribution, Large Cap

24 Jun 2021 | 03:59 PM

118.05
0.80 (0.68%)

Independent Research

theScreeners

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Star Rating

Initiated on 01-01-70

Target Price

Performance parameters

  • Earnings Revision Trend

    Analysts negative since 31-Mar-2020

    Compared to seven weeks ago, the analysts have lowered their earnings per share estimates. This negative trend began 31-Mar-2020 at a price of 84.20.

  • Valuation Rating

    Moderately undervalued

    Based on its growth potential and our own criteria, at its current price the stock is moderately undervalued.

  • MT Tech Trend

    Trend neutral but previously negative (since 28-Apr-2020)

    The stock is currently trading close to its forty day moving average (changes between +1.75% and -1.75% are considered neutral). Prior to this (since 28-Apr-2020), the stock traded below its moving average. The confirmed Technical Reverse (Tech Reverse + 1.75%) point is 95.243.

  • 4W REL Performance

    Under pressure (vs. SENSEX30)

    The four week relative underperformance versus SENSEX30 is -1.940.

Risk parameters

  • Risk Zone

    Moderate

    Moderate, no change over 1 year.

  • Bear Market

    Average sensitivity to market corrections

    On average, the stock is likely to decline with the index.

  • Bad News

    Slight market sanction in case of specific pressure

    When the stock's pressure is specific, the market sanction on average is 268%.

  • Beta

    68 Low sensitivity to SENSEX30

    For 1% of index variation, the stock varies on average by 68%.

  • Correlation

    0.62 Strong correlation to SENSEX30

    0.6184% of stock movements are explained by index variations.

  • Value at Risk

    Rs.22.81 The medium term value at risk is estimated at 22.81 or 0.24000%

    The value at risk is estimated at 22.81. The risk is therefore 0.24000%. This value is based on the historical volatility for a medium time period (1 month) with a confidence of 95%.

Other parameters

  • LT Growth

    8.99 Current year to 2022 annualized estimate

    The annualized growth estimate is for the current year to 2022.

  • P/E Ratio

    6.28 Estimated PE for 2022

    The estimated PE is for the year 2022.

  • G/PE Ratio

    2.45 High discount to expected growth due to base effect

    A ratio (Forecasted Growth + Estimated Dividend Yield/ Estimated Price Earnings) higher than 1.6 often suggests the projected growth is a result of a base effect, meaning the company can often be in a turn around situation. In this case, the estimated PE is a better indicator of a stock's expected growth than the Long Term Growth (LT Growth).

  • Dividend Yield

    6.4% Dividend is covered by profits, but not strongly

    The twelve month estimated dividend yield represents 40.190% of earnings forecasts.

  • Global Evaluation

    Neutral

    The stock is classified in the neutral zone since 24-Jan-2020.