Ashok Leyland Ltd NSE  /  BSE

Automobile, Mid Cap

24 Jan 2020 | 04:15 PM

86.50
-0.10 (-0.12%)

Independent Research

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Star Rating

Initiated on 01-01-70

Target Price

Performance parameters

  • Earnings Revision Trend

    Analysts negative since 19-Jul-2019

    Compared to seven weeks ago, the analysts have lowered their earnings per share estimates. This negative trend began 19-Jul-2019 at a price of 79.35.

  • Valuation Rating

    Fairly priced

    Based on its growth potential and our own criteria, at its current price the stock is fairly valued.

  • MT Tech Trend

    Trend negative since 14-Jun-2019

    The forty day Medium Term Technical Trend is negative since 14-Jun-2019. The confirmed Technical Reverse point (Tech Reverse + 1.75%) is 73.952.

  • 4W REL Performance

    Under pressure (vs. SENSEX30)

    The four week relative underperformance versus SENSEX30 is -16.300.

Risk parameters

  • Risk Zone

    High

    The stock has been on the high-sensitivity level since 30-Jul-2019.

  • Bear Market

    Above average sensitivity to market corrections

    On average, the stock has a tendency to amplify the drops in the index by 105%.

  • Bad News

    Slight market sanction in case of specific pressure

    When the stock's pressure is specific, the market sanction on average is 354%.

  • Beta

    149 High sensitivity to SENSEX30

    For 1% of index variation, the stock varies on average by 149%.

  • Correlation

    0.57 Fair correlation to SENSEX30

    0.5744% of stock movements are explained by index variations.

  • Value at Risk

    Rs.14.47 The medium term value at risk is estimated at 14.47 or 0.24010%

    The value at risk is estimated at 14.47. The risk is therefore 0.24010%. This value is based on the historical volatility for a medium time period (1 month) with a confidence of 95%.

Other parameters

  • LT Growth

    1.37 Current year to 2021 annualized estimate

    The annualized growth estimate is for the current year to 2021.

  • P/E Ratio

    14 Estimated PE for 2021

    The estimated PE is for the year 2021.

  • G/PE Ratio

    0.35 >50% premium to expected growth

    A ratio (Forecasted Growth + Estimated Dividend Yield/ Estimated Price Earnings) below 0.6 indicates that investors must pay a substantial premium for the estimated growth potential: >50% premium.

  • Dividend Yield

    3.58% Dividend is covered by profits, but not strongly

    The twelve month estimated dividend yield represents 50.056% of earnings forecasts.

  • Global Evaluation

    Negative

    The stock is classified in the negative zone since 20-Aug-2019.