Pick Of the Week – Escorts Ltd
We hereby present you our investment idea for Equity Investment i.e “Pick of the Week”. A thorough analysis of company, industry and economy goes behind our stock ideas for you. With the “Pick of the Week”, you may earn superior returns in stock market over a time horizon of 6 – 9 months.
INVESTING RATIONALE
• Escorts derives 79% of the topline from wide range of 10-75HP tractors primarily under the Farmtrac,
Powertrac and Steeltrac brands. The company sources 15% of revenue from Construction and material
handling equipment and rest from railway equipment.
• Having turned around on back of revamp of product portfolio over last 3 years, the healthy financing tieups
along with increase in dealer network has helped the company improve its market share in Western
part of the country (from 7.8% in FY16 to 9.5% in FY18). Going forward, the company is focusing on the
improving the overall market share to mid-teens. Increasing focus on exports (3.7% of revenue) should
help to sustain volume growth in near term.
• Turnaround in the construction equipment business is led by change in product mix and cost
rationalization. Focus on further cost cutting along with operating leverage would help the company
improve its margins in near future. Ramp up of the profitable railway equipment segment would further
help the company build its margins.
• Management expects strong growth momentum in tractors to continue in rest of the FY19 and some
moderation in FY20. Escorts is expected to gain market share in tractors on back of wide range of
portfolio. The company would also benefit from the robust order book of railways division and
construction equipment segment would benefit from steady infra activity.
• We maintain a BUY with a target of Rs 836.
WE RECOMMEND
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CMP
Rs.727
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Target Price
Rs.836
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Potential Upside
15%