Gujarat State Fertilizers & Chemicals Ltd NSE  /  BSE

Fertilizers, Small Cap

23 Oct 2020 | 03:59 PM

65.35
-2.00 (-2.97%)

Independent Research

theScreeners

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Star Rating

Initiated on 01-01-70

Target Price

Performance parameters

  • Earnings Revision Trend

    Analysts negative since 01-May-2020

    Compared to seven weeks ago, the analysts have lowered their earnings per share estimates. This negative trend began 01-May-2020 at a price of 43.90.

  • Valuation Rating

    Fairly priced

    Based on its growth potential and our own criteria, at its current price the stock is fairly valued.

  • MT Tech Trend

    Trend negative since 04-Feb-2020

    The forty day Medium Term Technical Trend is negative since 04-Feb-2020. The confirmed Technical Reverse point (Tech Reverse + 1.75%) is 48.316.

  • 4W REL Performance

    vs. SENSEX30

    The four week relative performance versus SENSEX30 is .

Risk parameters

  • Risk Zone

    High

    The stock has been on the high-sensitivity level since 18-Feb-2020.

  • Bear Market

    Above average sensitivity to market corrections

    On average, the stock has a tendency to amplify the drops in the index by 72%.

  • Bad News

    Slight market sanction in case of specific pressure

    When the stock's pressure is specific, the market sanction on average is 311%.

  • Beta

    93 Average sensitivity to SENSEX30

    For 1% of index variation, the stock varies on average by 93%.

  • Correlation

    0.56 Fair correlation to SENSEX30

    0.5615% of stock movements are explained by index variations.

  • Value at Risk

    Rs.12.06 The medium term value at risk is estimated at 12.06 or 0.27478%

    The value at risk is estimated at 12.06. The risk is therefore 0.27478%. This value is based on the historical volatility for a medium time period (1 month) with a confidence of 95%.

Other parameters

  • LT Growth

    50.12 Current year to 2021 annualized estimate

    The annualized growth estimate is for the current year to 2021.

  • P/E Ratio

    6.19 Estimated PE for 2021

    The estimated PE is for the year 2021.

  • G/PE Ratio

    8.89 High discount to expected growth due to base effect

    A ratio (Forecasted Growth + Estimated Dividend Yield/ Estimated Price Earnings) higher than 1.6 often suggests the projected growth is a result of a base effect, meaning the company can often be in a turn around situation. In this case, the estimated PE is a better indicator of a stock's expected growth than the Long Term Growth (LT Growth).

  • Dividend Yield

    4.92% Dividend is largely covered by profits

    The twelve month estimated dividend yield represents 30.479% of earnings forecasts.

  • Global Evaluation

    Slightly negative

    The stock is classified in the slightly negative zone since 07-Apr-2020.